2024 NBA Draft Lottery Odds: Predictions and Analysis

Introduction

The 2024 NBA Draft Lottery will be held on Sunday, May 12, 2024 at 3 PM ET. The lottery will determine the order of the first 14 picks in the 2024 NBA Draft.

Odds and History

The Pistons and Wizards share the highest odds to land the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NBA Draft, with 14% chances each. The Rockets, Magic, and Hornets also have strong chances of landing the top pick, with odds of 12.5%, 11.5%, and 9.4%, respectively.

The current lottery system was adopted in 1990. Since then, the team with the worst record in the NBA has won the lottery only three times: the Cavaliers in 2014, the Lakers in 2015, and the Magic in 2022.

Expert Analysis

NBA draft experts Jonathan Givony and Jeremy Woo of ESPN have broken down the likely picks, odds, and best fits for the 2024 NBA Draft Lottery teams:

* **Pistons**: Victor Wembanyama (PF/C) * **Wizards**: Scoot Henderson (PG) * **Rockets**: Emoni Bates (SF) * **Magic**: Cam Whitmore (SF) * **Hornets**: Dariq Whitehead (SG) * **Spurs**: Ausar Thompson (PG) * **Thunder**: Jalen Duren (C) * **Warriors**: Nick Smith Jr. (PG) * **Jazz**: Brandon Miller (SF) * **Blazers**: Cason Wallace (SG) * **Pacers**: Amen Thompson (PG) * **Kings**: Kris Murray (SF) * **Timberwolves**: Matas Buzelis (SF) * **Pelicans**: Jayden Epps (SG)